By Editorial
One of the main arguments to justify the aggressive deportation policy is that the space currently occupied by an undocumented person is immediately replaced by a native American. That’s not how they paint it, in some cases it’s quite the opposite.
The Trump Administration is selling the raids and expulsions of undocumented immigrants as an easy solution to the concerns of people dissatisfied with rising prices, lack of housing, a poor health system and very little confidence that the White House can remedy these emergencies.
The most repeated is the concept that deported immigrants leave vacancies that are filled by native citizens. From Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessentt, they have been repeating this solution to solve unemployment.
That is an illusion. Deportations, in addition to not creating jobs, are harmful to natives.
According to a detailed analysis by the Nationwide Bureau of Economy Analysis, “we find no indications that indirect positive effects occur for workers born in the United States, even those natives who work in sectors with a high presence of immigrants are harmed.”
The study is the only one of its kind carried out at the same time that ICE forces invaded Democratic cities with a repression that caused two deaths of American citizens. The analysis measured the relationship in the labor sector between deported immigrants and citizens hired for that position.
Furthermore, mass deportations can have negative economic consequences, since they could reduce the tax substandard, increase the prices of goods and services. In addition, aggravating labor shortages in key sectors such as agriculture and construction.
Americans aspire to supervisory positions, but no one wants to bend over and pick the strawberry. At the same time, the construction sector is down because there are no electricians, plumbers and people who work on (drywall) plaster walls.
The idea that job replacement occurs is naive and simplistic because it views deportation only as one employee leaving and another arriving. However, it negatively impacts the economy, because those expelled were consumers who are no longer there to make purchases, to pay taxes either on the purchase or on the income.
The study concludes that undocumented immigrants and workers born in the United States are complementary, and not substitutes, in the labor market. There is also the generational replacement of labor.
Everything requires a clear and realistic vision instead of anti-immigrant hysteria.
